日内瓦, 2022年11月29日: Today, the 正规博彩十大网站(WBCSD) launches a new 气候情景工具, which includes the first-ever climate scenarios designed specifically for the 食物, 农业和林产品部门. 该工具是对世界气候发展委员会现有的能源气候情景工具的补充.
气候 scenario analysis allows a company to understand how it might perform under different hypothetical climate futures. The Task Force on 气候-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) recommends climate scenario analysis for companies reporting on and preparing for transition risks and opportunities.
对情景分析的需求越来越大. 举例来说，美国政府.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) proposed climate disclosure rule will require disclosure of details on a company's use of scenario analysis to assess the impact of climate-related risks on its operations and business model. 另外, the International Sustainability Standards Board (ISSB) recently voted to confirm that companies must use climate-related scenario analysis to report on climate resilience and identify climate-related risks and opportunities to support their disclosures. Companies need new tools and better support to evaluate climate risks and opportunities, 建立过渡计划, 并根据TCFD的建议进行报告.
当食物, 农业和林产品部门 are steadily using more quantitative scenario analysis as an essential method to assess strategic resilience, approaches remain inconsistent and not comparable due to varying scenario applications.
WBCSD召集了主要的食品, 农业 and Forest Products companies to develop a set of new sector-relevant climate transition scenarios to assess strategic resilience to climate risk and inform disclosures in response to the recommendations of the TCFD. These scenarios are available effective today through an online tool that enables users to navigate by specific variables (e.g., commodities and regions) and compare, visualize, and download output data (e.g.、生产、价格和排放).
"Scenario analysis is an increasingly important tool as companies seek to understand how to navigate climate transition risks. Having a consistent set of scenarios for the forest sector that considers the dynamics with other 土地使用 provides a solid foundation and starting point for engaging the entire organization around climate transition risks,” 索菲·贝克汉姆，国际纸业副总裁兼首席正规博彩十大网站排名官. "We’re excited about the prospects for how these scenarios can help to inform Enterprise Risk Management for our organization and others in our sector.”
气候情景工具提供涵盖业务的输出, 土地使用, 以及23种作物的环境因素, 动物产品, 并与18个地区的林产品商品.
“It’s encouraging to see the private sector take a science-based approach to assess different climate scenarios for food, 农业, 和森林,” Dr. Franziska Gaupp, Senior Researcher at the Potsdam Institute for 气候 Impact Research. “The scenarios developed by WBCSD can enable companies to build a shared understanding of future climate-related risks and opportunities and help drive alignment of decision-making and business strategy within planetary boundaries.”
Companies can use the scenarios to explore possible futures and drive discussions with risk management, 采购, 战略和其他部分的业务围绕:
- Public and policy engagement: a tool for policy discussions based on scientific data.
- Strategic adaptation and resilience: inform assessments of business model resilience and understand how transition risks and opportunities could materialize.
- Financial impact: a starting point for describing how transition risks and opportunities can link to the financial effects.
- 报告和披露:与tcfd一致的报告的基础, 与投资者对话并与特定温度目标保持一致.
"Leading companies are rethinking their business models to respond to the challenges and opportunities posed by climate change,” WBCSD TCFD参考场景经理Ryan Whisnant. “水务署很高兴推出这项新服务, 免费的, online tool to help many companies develop transition plans to align with a low-carbon future."
This project is made possible through funding from the Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation and the Norwegian International 气候 and Forest Initiative's Funding Scheme. 作为这项工作的技术知识合作伙伴, Vivid Economics by McKinsey provided economic and 土地使用 modeling and scenario development support. 普华永道提供业务应用、培训和过渡计划支持.
Access the new TCFD Reference Scenario Tool for 食物, 农业 and Forest Products 在这里. To view a list of the TCFD Reference Scenario Tool member companies, visit our 网站.
